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Red170
97142.0
25469.6
85242.2
Blue110
84034.3
47347.6
68724.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157106050200250300350170110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
69.60.5
68.969.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
473
Unranked
47.60.0
49.249.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
Unranked
42.20.7
41.341.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
840
Unranked
34.30.1
36.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
971
Unranked
42.00.7
41.141.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
687
Unranked
24.30.0
25.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End