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Quarterfinal 4-22004 Lone Star Regional
Red95
64738.9
47637.9
11815.6
Blue65
41835.3
110831.0
44614.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112780501001502002509565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
Unranked
38.90.4
43.6→43.1
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 3.6
418
Unranked
35.30.6
35.7→35.1
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Teleop—
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Second
476
Unranked
37.90.5
43.4→42.9
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Teleop—
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red by 6.9
1108
Unranked
31.00.6
31.3→30.8
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Teleop—
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Third
118
Unranked
15.60.5
21.1→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 1.5
446
Unranked
14.10.6
14.5→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—