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Red45
31931.9
43420.6
Blue25
149615.2
147913.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801004525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
31.90.3
21.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
1496
Unranked
15.22.0
21.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
20.60.3
20.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1479
Unranked
13.52.0
19.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End