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Red65
11815.6
147717.8
Blue95
132615.8
110831.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394401001502006595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
17.83.6
17.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1108
Unranked
31.06.4
21.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
Unranked
15.63.2
21.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1326
Unranked
15.86.4
22.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End