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Red30
14298.2
31931.9
Blue45
43420.6
62418.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4423060801001201403045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
31.91.2
23.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
434
Unranked
20.62.5
17.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1429
Unranked
8.28.6
8.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
624
Unranked
18.12.1
7.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End