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Red50
129625.8
14827.1
Blue15
12149.0
46227.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49270204060801001201401605015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
27.10.4
30.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
462
Unranked
27.51.8
16.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1296
Unranked
25.80.3
16.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
1214
Unranked
9.01.8
12.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End