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Red70
148021.5
142133.9
Blue20
49915.2
147717.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63320501001507020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
Unranked
33.91.3
35.336.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1477
Unranked
17.81.9
20.318.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1480
Unranked
21.51.3
24.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
499
Unranked
15.21.9
15.013.1
Auto
Teleop
End