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Red40
149017.3
65310.8
Blue100
129625.8
45714.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4030020608010040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1490
Unranked
17.30.2
22.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
1296
Unranked
25.85.7
18.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
10.80.2
16.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
457
Unranked
14.58.6
12.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End