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Red10
23118.6
149017.3
Blue15
65310.8
14728.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801001201401015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
18.64.4
23.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
653
Unranked
10.81.9
16.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1490
Unranked
17.34.4
22.117.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
1472
Unranked
8.61.9
13.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End