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Red20
144214.7
65310.8
Blue100
47637.9
14827.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314105010015020020100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1442
Unranked
14.72.0
14.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.2
476
Unranked
37.97.5
18.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
10.81.5
13.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.3
148
Unranked
27.17.5
21.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End