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Red5
12149.0
70422.3
Blue15
147913.5
66013.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5027020406080100120140515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
Unranked
22.35.3
30.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1479
Unranked
13.51.8
13.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1214
Unranked
9.05.3
16.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
660
Unranked
13.31.8
16.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End