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Red30
149017.3
149615.2
Blue60
41835.3
148414.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33410501001503060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1490
Unranked
17.30.5
18.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
418
Unranked
35.32.3
28.530.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1496
Unranked
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1484
Unranked
14.02.3
12.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End