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Red30
46227.5
120519.9
Blue15
142133.9
64413.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625902040801001201403015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
27.53.3
34.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1421
Unranked
33.94.9
41.136.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1205
Unranked
19.93.3
25.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
644
Unranked
13.55.7
19.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End