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Red30
65310.8
44115.9
Blue40
43420.6
146011.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253004060801001201401603040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
Unranked
15.90.5
15.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
434
Unranked
20.61.1
19.520.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
10.80.5
10.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1460
Unranked
11.31.1
10.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End