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Red40
149615.2
70422.3
Blue25
148021.5
49915.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070804025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
Unranked
22.30.0
24.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1480
Unranked
21.51.6
23.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1496
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
499
Unranked
15.21.8
16.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End