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Red45
14827.1
46227.5
145919.6
Blue115
142133.9
45642.8
70422.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810405015020045115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
27.51.2
29.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
456
Unranked
42.80.5
43.543.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
27.11.3
29.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1421
Unranked
33.90.5
34.635.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1459
Unranked
19.61.2
21.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
704
Unranked
22.30.5
22.923.4
Auto
Teleop
End