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Red115
84328.6
40124.3
Blue55
83614.5
49712.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352705010015020025011555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
843
Unranked
28.610.1
17.727.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
836
Unranked
14.53.4
15.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
24.310.1
16.526.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
497
Unranked
12.53.4
12.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End