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Red0
42220.9
51017.8
Blue30
61913.6
16531.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39260100150200250300030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
20.94.6
18.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
165
Unranked
31.70.3
14.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
510
Unranked
17.84.6
18.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
619
Unranked
13.60.3
13.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End