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Red95
61123.2
62025.5
Blue125
43534.5
61637.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653010015020025030035095125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
Unranked
25.57.1
17.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
616
Unranked
37.99.2
28.637.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
611
Unranked
23.27.1
20.928.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
435
Unranked
34.59.2
22.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End