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Red40
113721.7
103321.1
Blue25
67710.8
84328.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060801004025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
Unranked
21.70.8
19.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
843
Unranked
28.61.4
19.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1033
Unranked
21.10.8
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
677
Unranked
10.81.4
17.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End