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Red65
30820.5
97739.9
Blue15
82525.8
40525.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505001002003004005006515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
Unranked
39.91.9
34.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
825
Unranked
25.84.4
22.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
20.51.9
15.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
405
Unranked
25.14.4
27.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End