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Red5
41414.8
5404.5
Blue80
33931.0
82525.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20530100150200580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
414
Unranked
14.82.4
17.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
339
Unranked
31.03.9
27.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
540
Unranked
4.52.4
6.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
825
Unranked
25.83.9
21.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End