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Red60
62025.5
97528.8
Blue15
53910.0
34523.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543701001502006015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
975
Unranked
28.81.0
27.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
345
Unranked
23.33.1
26.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
620
Unranked
25.50.9
24.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
539
Unranked
10.03.1
13.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End