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Red32
177120.5
126120.5
141520.5
Blue65
999917.3
131117.3
131917.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555402040801001201403265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
Unranked
20.52.3
14.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1311
Unranked
17.37.0
25.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1415
Unranked
20.50.1
17.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1319
Unranked
17.325.3
44.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1771
Unranked
20.53.3
20.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
9999
Unranked
17.31.3
17.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End