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Red80
6143.6
23742.9
83917.4
Blue110
22818.9
23642.8
80924.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128005015020025030035080110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
43.60.7
45.144.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
236
Unranked
42.80.7
41.842.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
42.90.7
44.443.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
809
Unranked
24.20.7
23.223.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
17.40.7
18.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
228
Unranked
18.90.7
18.018.7
Auto
Teleop
End