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Red110
128940.3
56227.4
16617.3
Blue150
19035.3
12133.4
102717.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86102050150200250110150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
Unranked
40.30.6
41.241.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
190
Unranked
35.31.2
40.141.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
Unranked
27.40.6
28.328.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
121
Unranked
33.41.2
38.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
166
Unranked
17.30.6
18.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1027
Unranked
17.11.2
21.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End