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Red70
56227.4
16617.3
Blue25
27119.9
46728.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526101001502007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
562
Unranked
27.41.4
33.034.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
467
Unranked
28.82.7
32.730.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
17.31.3
19.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
271
Unranked
19.92.7
27.725.0
Auto
Teleop
End