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Red30
59611.4
9640.2
Blue25
2386.7
57141.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457001001502003025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96
Unranked
40.21.4
34.433.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
571
Unranked
41.43.2
50.447.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
11.41.4
13.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
238
Unranked
6.73.2
17.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End