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Red70
13430.7
12133.4
Blue120
17743.2
22818.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9647015020025070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
33.41.6
39.838.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
177
Unranked
43.25.1
34.239.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
134
Unranked
30.71.9
51.249.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
228
Unranked
18.95.1
18.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End