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Red50
78245.1
110033.1
Blue10
112420.6
13430.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85680501001502002505010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
45.12.5
50.447.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
134
Unranked
30.74.5
43.138.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
Unranked
33.12.5
32.329.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1124
Unranked
20.64.5
26.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End