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Red33
5885.4
28813.3
102711.7
Blue0
8032.3
128612.8
4016.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262201030405060330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
Unranked
13.30.4
13.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1286
Unranked
12.81.1
12.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
Unranked
11.70.6
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
401
Unranked
6.41.9
4.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
588
Unranked
5.40.5
5.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
803
Unranked
2.31.4
5.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End