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Red68
19115.9
107111.2
43513.6
Blue42
35916.8
15479.3
15089.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26310204060801001206842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
15.93.4
9.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
359
Unranked
16.80.6
14.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
Unranked
13.63.4
8.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1508
Unranked
9.50.6
8.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
Unranked
11.22.1
8.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1547
Unranked
9.30.6
6.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End