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Red26
2016.9
49416.4
6512.4
Blue33
24522.7
107111.2
3503.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060801001202633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
16.91.2
18.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
245
Unranked
22.70.2
21.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
Unranked
16.41.2
17.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1071
Unranked
11.20.2
10.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
65
Unranked
12.41.2
14.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
350
Unranked
3.90.3
4.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End