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Red16
99710.9
98022.2
6512.4
Blue84
19115.9
17917.9
49416.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47510204060801001684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
22.20.5
22.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
179
Unranked
17.90.6
17.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65
Unranked
12.40.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
494
Unranked
16.40.6
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
997
Unranked
10.90.8
11.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
191
Unranked
15.90.9
15.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End