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Red55
5625.3
25425.2
6416.7
Blue57
33023.8
6722.7
50317.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696301001502002503005557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
25.30.2
25.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
330
Unranked
23.80.2
23.723.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
254
Unranked
25.20.2
25.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
67
Unranked
22.70.1
22.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
64
Unranked
16.70.2
17.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
503
Unranked
17.10.1
17.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End