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Qual 172005 Colorado Regional
Red12
8332.8
11902.5
16912.7
Blue2
15918.1
17056.1
16951.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1112051520253035122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
833
Unranked
2.80.0
4.2→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.2
159
Unranked
18.10.8
5.0→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1691
Unranked
2.70.0
3.6→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.4
1705
Unranked
6.10.8
3.6→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1190
Unranked
2.50.0
3.6→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
1695
Unranked
1.40.8
2.9→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—