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Red4
15156.3
1562-0.8
13482.7
Blue21
17056.1
15833.2
13036.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914020304050421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
Unranked
6.30.4
4.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1303
Unranked
6.50.6
7.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
Unranked
2.70.4
1.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1705
Unranked
6.10.6
2.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1562
Unranked
-0.80.4
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1583
Unranked
3.20.6
3.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End