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Red62
16665.0
4435.1
15918.1
Blue10
14102.7
14083.7
17056.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131401020304050606210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
Unranked
18.14.0
5.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1705
Unranked
6.10.3
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
443
Unranked
5.14.0
4.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1408
Unranked
3.70.3
8.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1666
Unranked
5.04.0
3.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1410
Unranked
2.70.3
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End