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Red26
11575.1
13323.1
11823.0
Blue1
11581.7
16951.4
16679.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010020406080100261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
23.00.1
17.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
1667
Unranked
9.20.9
5.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1157
Unranked
5.10.1
7.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1158
Unranked
1.70.9
3.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1332
Unranked
3.10.1
2.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1695
Unranked
1.40.9
2.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End