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Red29
11575.1
15156.3
4435.1
Blue9
158410.3
8332.8
13752.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1212510152025299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
Unranked
6.34.8
9.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1584
Unranked
10.37.4
10.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
443
Unranked
5.11.4
4.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
833
Unranked
2.80.3
4.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1157
Unranked
5.11.4
4.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1375
Unranked
2.50.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End