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Red40
11581.7
13036.5
16679.2
Blue6
158410.3
13323.1
938-0.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11160203040406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1667
Unranked
9.21.9
9.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1584
Unranked
10.30.7
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1303
Unranked
6.51.9
3.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1332
Unranked
3.10.7
2.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1158
Unranked
1.71.9
-1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
938
Unranked
-0.40.7
2.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End