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Red19
13575.0
11902.5
16536.6
Blue0
8332.8
16700.0
1562-0.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321020304050190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1653
Unranked
6.60.5
5.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
833
Unranked
2.80.2
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1357
Unranked
5.00.5
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1670
Unranked
0.00.2
-1.3-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1190
Unranked
2.50.5
2.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1562
Unranked
-0.80.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End