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Red64
2018.1
17315.5
2307.5
Blue9
15686.2
15711.1
16655.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412206080100649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
18.10.4
17.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
157
Unranked
11.10.2
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
15.50.4
14.615.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1568
Unranked
6.20.3
6.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
230
Unranked
7.50.4
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1665
Unranked
5.80.3
6.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End