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Red80
6920.9
10717.7
27113.5
Blue0
5216.1
10997.0
13736.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2017010304050607080800

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
20.95.0
10.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
1099
Unranked
7.01.4
4.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
13.55.0
4.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1373
Unranked
6.21.4
6.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
Unranked
7.75.0
4.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
521
Unranked
6.11.4
6.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End