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Red9
8395.2
80918.9
99910.5
Blue47
5216.1
2018.1
22812.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829020406080100947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
809
Unranked
18.90.1
7.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
20
Unranked
18.11.7
15.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
10.50.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
228
Unranked
12.31.7
8.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
5.20.1
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
521
Unranked
6.11.7
3.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End