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Red0
15686.2
27113.5
14931.9
Blue70
23620.8
99910.5
54615.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1916010304050607080070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
13.51.6
10.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
236
Unranked
20.84.5
9.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1568
Unranked
6.21.6
3.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
546
Unranked
15.14.5
6.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1493
Unranked
1.91.6
4.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
999
Unranked
10.54.5
0.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End