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Red8
17315.5
13736.2
5588.4
Blue0
2962.2
22812.3
5716.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2717010405060708080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
15.51.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
228
Unranked
12.31.5
10.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
8.41.5
6.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
571
Unranked
6.21.5
2.00.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1373
Unranked
6.21.5
5.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
296
Unranked
2.21.5
5.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End