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Red30
54615.1
15247.3
112413.8
Blue28
15711.1
27113.5
5216.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252301020304050603028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
546
Unranked
15.10.5
11.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
271
Unranked
13.50.4
8.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1124
Unranked
13.80.5
9.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
157
Unranked
11.10.4
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1524
Unranked
7.30.5
3.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
521
Unranked
6.10.4
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End