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Red25
16655.8
17315.5
1812.2
Blue28
7169.7
5588.4
5216.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521010304050602528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
15.50.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
716
Unranked
9.70.5
9.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1665
Unranked
5.80.0
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
558
Unranked
8.40.5
6.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
181
Unranked
2.20.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
521
Unranked
6.10.5
5.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End