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Red51
6920.9
112413.8
8395.2
Blue18
2962.2
9056.9
17315.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2818010405060705118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
20.91.7
15.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
173
Unranked
15.50.1
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1124
Unranked
13.81.7
12.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
905
Unranked
6.90.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
Unranked
5.21.8
-0.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
296
Unranked
2.20.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End